If you suspected that you were playing against loaded dice, you would have to record a lot of rolls, and lose all your money, before you would have statistical proof that the probabilities were off. It would be much better to examine the dice.
Scientists have been examining climate systems for many years and have reached consensus that increased carbon dioxide is increasing the temperature of the atmosphere and the ocean. They have also determined there is a high probability that increased temperatures — more energy in the system — will increase the likelihood of rare, extreme weather events.
In 2012, Superstorm Sandy rolled up the East Coast, like many other autumn storms, and then made an extremely unusual left hook and slammed into New Jersey and New York, becoming the most expensive natural disaster in U.S. history.
Increased ocean temperatures lead to more moisture in the atmosphere. In 2012, the Carolinas experienced an anomalous rain event that dumped as much as 2 feet of rain. Higher ocean temperatures also lead to rapid intensification of tropical cyclones. In an extremely unusual event, Hurricane Joaquin, hitting a patch of record warm water, intensified from Category 1 to Category 4 in 24 hours, surprising the SS El Faro. Ship and crew were lost.
In 2016, Louisiana experienced an anomalous rain event that dropped more than 2 feet of rain. Hurricane Harvey intensified from Category 1 to Category 4 in a day and slammed into the Texas coast, dropping as much as 50-plus inches of rain.
No single extreme event can be presented as proof of global warming. But with scientists predicting that this is what will happen, a wise person would pay attention.
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